Monday, May 08, 2006

Sinking Like A Stone

Just a few short months ago I wouldn’t have thought it possible for Bush’s approval rating to fall below 30%, but I may have misunderestimated his ability to alienate the American people. A just released USA Today/Gallup poll has the President’s approval rating at an uninspiring 31%. Maybe he’ll get a bounce from a Rove indictment next week, a bounce right into the toilet that is. Roaring 20s here we come!


Anonymous Anonymous said...

most right wingers have gone full speed ahead with the whole immigration thing. Outside of Sean Hannity and the more insane parts of the blogosphere who don't realize party's over, there is mostly silence when it comes to Bush.

Your typical conservative radio show is an hour on immigration, and hour on patrick kennedy, and a hour on basicaly anything that isn't Iraq or George Bush. Bugs, zippers, it's like NPR.

10:05 AM  
Anonymous Dale Hippert said...

"It is a challenging political environment," acknowledges Tracey Schmitt, a spokeswoman for the Republican National Committee, "but we are confident that ultimately voters in November will recognize that a Democrat Congress would simply not be equipped to ensure either economic or national security for our nation."

Thanks Tracey! When you get around to removing your head from your ass perhaps you can enlighten us on how exactly the Republican Congress has ensured our economic and national security. Please address balance of payments, trade deficits, budget deficits,
national debt, oil and gasoline prices...please also reference the piling
on that Rethugs did to the Clinton Admin in 2000 when oil rose to $35/a barrel
and gasoline rose to $1.50/gal....port security, military preparedness and equipment
status, and the current level of Fed support for R&D in alternative energy & embryonic stem cell research.

I'll look forward to entering your "It is a challenging political environment" statement for
inclusion in the Understatement Hall of Fame. It matches up well with these......

...Famous Examples

Event: The rocket carrying the space shuttle 'Challenger' exploded in a catastrophic fireball soon after take-off, on 28th January 1986. Comment: by Steve Nisbett, public commentator for Mission Control at NASA: "Obviously a major malfunction...". here

Event: British Admiral David Beatty had just watched two of his battle-cruisers explode and disintegrate under German fire at the Battle of Jutland, 31st May 1916. Comment: "There seems to be something wrong with our bloody ships today...".

And, "So aside from that, what did you think of the play Mrs. Lincoln?"

10:06 AM  
Blogger The (liberal)Girl Next Door said...

Anonymous--That is really funny, imagining right-wingers listening to NPR. I'm glad to hear they're focusing on immigration, nothing will divide their Party more completely than pitting the racists against the corporatists. Happy trails to them!

Dale--Perhaps the Lady doth protest too much! This line of reasoning will lead to an even bigger loss than they could ever be prepared for (if all is open, honest, transparent and verifiable come Election Day), I hope they stick with it.

10:06 AM  
Anonymous Jeremy said...

Anon that's a really good point. And of course, the more I read about it, the more I feel like a Rove indictment may be coming this I think we're going to see those number plunge lower.

I remember about a year ago, a political scientist said on the Al Franken show, that the theoretic "low" for presidents is about 35%. In other words, no one can really do much worse than that, because you always have your hard-core base, of whom will never, ever change their loyalty.

So Bush is now 4 points lower than the lowest anyone could possibly go.

10:07 AM  
Anonymous Dale Hippert said...

The 'theory' is flawed:

Moderates gave him an approval rating of 28%, liberals of 7%.

"You hear people say he has a hard core that will never desert him, and that has been the case for most of the administration," says Charles Franklin, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin who studies presidential approval ratings. "But for the last few months, we started to see that hard core seriously erode in support."

Only four presidents have scored lower approval ratings since the Gallup Poll began regularly measuring it in the mid-1940s: Harry Truman, Richard Nixon, Jimmy Carter and the first George Bush. When Nixon, Carter and the elder Bush sank below 35%, they never again registered above 40%.

Truman twice sank into the low 30s and then rose into the 60s, but the third time his rating fell, it stayed below 40% as well."

A Rove indictment could be good for a 1.5-2 point additional drop.

A Fed indictment for either Delay, Ney or Frist...another 1-2 points.

Further spillover from the Cunningham/CIA and Abramhoff
investigations, 1-2 points.

We could be looking at Nixonian #'s before Labor Day!

10:08 AM  
Anonymous GraemeAnfinson said...

maybe the American people aren't retarded after all. Well, RV was number one at the box office a week or so ago, so maybe not.

10:09 AM  

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